In 2020 Trump got 47% of the votes. Biden 51%. That’s the almost half that I’m talking about

That doesn’t change anything I said. A significant portion of your population votes for them. Almost half of the voting population votes for them. You can’t ignore these facts.

The electoral college favors Republicans but the narrative that “no one really votes for Republicans” is fucking bullshit

Yes, they tend to lose the popular vote but even then % wise, it’s way closer than it should be.

The way you phrase it, makes it seem like they are a fringe group that through cheating manages to win even if they only have half as many votes as the Democrats.

They are popular even with, or perhaps actually because of, all of the racism, sexism and fascist tendencies. Do not downplay that.

Still, not as many people listen to older bands even if they are fans and especially for older bands people tend to listen more in other mediums

Take any videoclip from YouTube for example of any of the greatest song that is a 3, 4, 5 decades old and it will have far less views than a mild reggaeton hit from last summer, even if the old song has had far longer to accumulate views

I mean, using these spotify metrics in comparison with all time greats is kinda flawed.

For example my band sold just as many tickets as Michael Jackson and the Beatles COMBINED in 2024.

I am not in a band.

Love your comments. Keep them up

Also if there’s a place to follow you, especially closer to the election let me know

I recently joined mastodon and follow almost no one there, so if you are there with these analysis definitely let me know

Exactly this. If Taylor swift gets the swifties to the polls it’s game over.

And he might get sued as well which would be the cherry on top

They were more than happy to have a very reasonable chance of having Trump in the office by choosing not to vote.

Not as bad as voting for him but still not a great excuse.

There’s also no reason to believe that 100% of those people would not vote for Trump. What is most likely is that the proposition would be roughly similar, maybe a bit lower

I’ve had iPhone for years and I can’t remember the last time I didn’t use chrome with it

Never rooted my phones either. It’s definitely not blocked

Interesting

It wasn’t even a video live stream. It was just audio.

Pardon my ignorance but why are you assuming that the abortion amendment is guaranteed to pass?

Do you really think Trump would obey these people? Have you seen his Twitter/truth social feed? They can’t limit the social media he posts let alone the one he sees

They’ll spin it that he’s so poor that he is incompetent or just going for VP for the paycheck will “billionaire” Trump is a good business man and doesn’t need the paycheck at all. But it will probably backfire cuz that just makes Walz relatable AF, especially to younger or more rural voters.

Polls were perfectly in line with the result of 2016

When polls say that candidate X has a 51% chance of winning then it’s perfectly valid for the other candidate to win. Literally almost as likely. That’s what happened in 2016

I mean yes? Obviously not you but around half the people that vote somehow prefer Trump and Project 2025. And the people that don’t vote don’t care enough about it to get out of their homes and vote to keep democracy.

So yes, about 2/3 of your country seem to be ok with that scenario. Though I believe that you and many people like you don’t.

Cmon it’s not the exact same word

They’re called synonyms

If they knew Biden is going to lose then they’d replace him. At least then you have a shot.

They believe that he can win and that no one has a better chance of doing so than him. Which is entirely debatable but at least it makes logical sense.

Does it have a nice feed with the latest news around the world and can you actually read the news there? I thought it was more of a news aggregator/comparison tool and I’m afraid that some news will be behind another pay wall or in some other website.

Lastly if you have one of those codes (maybe one that benefits you I can have a look). For 1$ a year I can give a try myself.

Yes

People here and on Reddit really think that polls are made with just a few calls and then some average/extrapolation and that’s it.

Meanwhile it’s an entire field with a lot of complex math and people with more knowledge about it than everyone in this comment section combined.

And then the classic “polls are shit, they always get it wrong”. By definition polls are correct because they just represent an objective data set. Then they translate it into a phrase that we humans can (somewhat) understand but people then take it wrongly.

They read “Poll X says candidate Y will win” when instead they should read “According to the data obtained for Poll X, candidate Y has a Z% chance of winning with a confidence level of W%”. And that isn’t wrong unless someone wants to find the mistake in the math.