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Cake day: June 1st, 2023

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  • That’s assuming that all Trump supporters vote down ballot. I’ve been reading that a non-negligable percentage of Trump voters just voted for president and left down ballot races blank. Considering Trump only won the swing states by tiny percentages, a small percentage of Trump voters leaving blank the rest is easily enough to sway it

    For instance, if we look at Wisconsin senate, we see that Tammy Baldwin has almost exactly the same number of votes as Harris (only a couple hundred more), but Eric Hovde shows less substantially votes than Trump got

    Results with ~99% reported:

    Donald Trump: 1,697,769

    Kamala Harris: 1,668,082

    (And about 40k for third party)

    Vs senate

    Tammy Baldwin: 1,668,545 [+436 from Harris]

    Eric Hovde: 1,641,181 [-56,615 from Trump]


  • At the federal level, drag out everything and block everything you can. Their margins in the house, should it be called in their favor, will be extremely narrow. Let them in fight and flame against each other. Use every procedural rule to slow stuff down. Filibuster everything. Even if a specific issue is a losing fight, make them have to fight it so they cannot move on to something else. Republicans have used these tricks to block progress for a long time, time to flip it back on them

    At the state level, we can much have more room to push back. A lot of what they are likely to pull is pushing things back into the states. Codify everything at state levels. Ensrhine our rights into state constitutions. A lot of federal operations rely on state government cooperating behind the scenes. Without it, a lot more can be slowed way down or made much more difficult

    Outside the government, we still have power as individuals. Organize unions, protests, etc





  • He still lost vote shared had just about the same vote share compared to the previous election. It’s just that dems didn’t show up as much. If his tariff plans go into effect, his support will almost certainly drop a fair amount more. A good chunk of people supported him because they thought he’d magically fix everything economically. Destroying the economy will turn people against him or at least not make them so actively support him

    Tens of millions did not vote for this. If they want to take away rights, make every one a fight. Every thing that they have to spend time on keeps them from moving on to the next thing




















  • If we’re going on history, then they would not be safe seats either. The margins they won by in their last election were quite close

    Rick scott was re-elected in 2018 by a margin of just 0.12% (just ~10,000 votes of ~8 million)

    In Cruz’s last election, he narrowly won by just ~2.6% in 2018. He’s unpopular among even many republicans. The state has gotten more blue since then. Texas is an ~R+5 ish state. It’s not as solidly red as people think it is