GiddyGap@lemm.ee to politics @lemmy.world · 8 months agoTrump is winning big with his base, but there’s no sign that he's broadening supportapnews.comexternal-linkmessage-square158fedilinkarrow-up1306arrow-down112
arrow-up1294arrow-down1external-linkTrump is winning big with his base, but there’s no sign that he's broadening supportapnews.comGiddyGap@lemm.ee to politics @lemmy.world · 8 months agomessage-square158fedilink
minus-squareKbin_space_program@kbin.sociallinkfedilinkarrow-up3arrow-down2·8 months agoThat was an in person speech I attended by the unofficial god of polling, Angus Reid.
minus-squarefrezik@midwest.sociallinkfedilinkarrow-up5·8 months agoDon’t know what you heard in a speech, but Angus Reid’s own organization accurately predicted the popular vote that year: https://angusreid.org/electoral-record-continued/
minus-squareKbin_space_program@kbin.sociallinkfedilinkarrow-up4arrow-down3·edit-28 months agoAnd his group was the outlier. Anyways I was sharing firsthand knowledge here that isnt acknowledged on the web. That speech has no public recording. No polling agency talks about why the uncertainty used to be +/-3% and its now often +/- 6 to 10%. You’re just looking for irrelevant gotchas.
minus-squarefrezik@midwest.sociallinkfedilinkarrow-up5·8 months agoIt’s not exactly a “gotcha” when we just have to take your word for it that this happened.
minus-squareoctopus_ink@lemmy.mllinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up3·edit-28 months agoA: Makes a claim B: Requests source. A: You’re just looking for irrelevant gotchas. Anyway, she lives in Canada. I mean, you might be totally correct and relating a factual experience with total objectivity. But you gotta admit that’s what it sounds like.
That was an in person speech I attended by the unofficial god of polling, Angus Reid.
Don’t know what you heard in a speech, but Angus Reid’s own organization accurately predicted the popular vote that year:
https://angusreid.org/electoral-record-continued/
And his group was the outlier.
Anyways I was sharing firsthand knowledge here that isnt acknowledged on the web. That speech has no public recording.
No polling agency talks about why the uncertainty used to be +/-3% and its now often +/- 6 to 10%.
You’re just looking for irrelevant gotchas.
It’s not exactly a “gotcha” when we just have to take your word for it that this happened.
A: Makes a claim
B: Requests source.
A: You’re just looking for irrelevant gotchas. Anyway, she lives in Canada.
I mean, you might be totally correct and relating a factual experience with total objectivity. But you gotta admit that’s what it sounds like.