I am extremely skeptical about this article’s conclusions. It doesn’t help that it starts out by bashing Harris and ignoring all the issues Trump has run into. Seriously, the news has been mostly pretty bad for Trump lately, there isn’t a lot of reason to expect his numbers to be improving.

When looking across all polls and breaking them down by state, the general trend has been either chaotic swings from one poll to another, or a steady shift from Trump to Harris. Arizona is pretty much the only swing state that has shown a clear move towards Trump. Hell, even Texas and Florida are steadily shifting away from Trump. There’s a reason why the Trump campaign has narrowed their focus and given up on several states they thought they could flip.

If anything, I would expect the main reasons for a shift to Trump would be Kennedy being removed from polls (even in states where he will still be on the ballot) and just a general tightening of the race as undecided voters choose either candidate.