Biden actually gained a point since last month’s survey, which was taken before the debate. In this poll, he leads Trump 50% to 48% in a head-to-head matchup. But Biden slips when third-party options are introduced, with Trump holding the slightest advantage with 43% to 42%.
Those numbers, though, do not represent statistically significant differences, as the margin of error in the survey is +/- 3.1 percentage points, meaning results could be 3 points higher or lower.
The poll also found that, at this point, no other mainstream Democrat who has been mentioned as a replacement for the president on the ticket does better than Biden.
The results reflect the hyperpolarized political environment in the country and the reality that both of the major parties’ presumptive nominees bring with them significant disadvantages. Majorities of those surveyed continue to say they have a negative opinion of both men, and neither, they say, should be on the ballot at all.
Archived at https://web.archive.org/web/20240712121307/https://www.npr.org/2024/07/12/nx-s1-5036518/biden-trump-poll
It’s good news relative to my expectations which were that things would get worse. But yes, the situation looks quite dire here.
I still remember when the Biden campaign was promising the debate was the moment that was going to turn everything around. That obviously didn’t happen, but I also don’t know if the debate actually changed anything or just made everybody who was going to vote for Biden/against Trump anyway more depressed without changing their votes.
For whatever this voters’ opinion is worth - I think Biden’s an overly conservative ass, but I think anyone that’s likely to replace would be too, so that’s a wash, and as far as the age thing goes I think we’ve had less functional people in the oval office and figured it out (see; Reagan’s second term), so I don’t really care about that. I just want Trump to lose and for the DNC political machine to have a major change in their leadership and direction before 2026 and 2028.